Primavera SP vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 1
GRE
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
PRI
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
3 - 1
FER
59%
24%
18%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
PRI
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 1
ATI
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
SAO
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 0
MAT
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
FER
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAT
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |