Primavera SP vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
PRI
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
XVD
3 - 0
PRI
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 0
RIO
40%
29%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
PRI
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 1
LEM
64%
21%
14%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
LIN
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 0
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
COM
1 - 3
BSP
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
SER
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |