Primavera SP vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
PRI
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
SJS
37%
27%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
PRI
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
PRI
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
PAU
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
CAT
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |