Primavera SP vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
PRI
64%
23%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
PRI
2 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 1
PRI
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
PRI
3 - 2
BER
26%
27%
46%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
PRI
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
BSP
3 - 1
POR
16%
20%
64%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 1
BSP
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
VOT
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VOT
0 - 3
POR
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
ATI
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |