BFC Preussen vs Staaken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
2º
7
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
17 | 69 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
19 | 62 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 62 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 49 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 45 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 43 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 42 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 38 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 37 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 35 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 32 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 23 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 19 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
17.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Preussen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FBI
0 - 4
PRE
12%
15%
73%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
PRE
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PRE
3 - 0
FCW
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 3
PRE
11%
16%
72%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PRE
5 - 1
TSV
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Staaken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 2
SCS
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 1
SCS
73%
16%
10%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
SCS
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SCS
1 - 6
LIC
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ANK
4 - 1
SCS
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -3 |