BFC Preussen vs Lichterfelder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Preussen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
OPT
3 - 1
PRE
75%
17%
9%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
PRE
0 - 3
NEU
30%
28%
43%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
PRE
1 - 3
NEU
33%
28%
39%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
OPT
0 - 1
PRE
75%
17%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
PRE
0 - 2
TEN
14%
22%
64%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
4 - 2
LIC
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
BAK
1 - 1
LIC
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
TUR
4 - 2
LIC
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
LIC
3 - 2
TOR
53%
22%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
HER
4 - 0
LIC
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |