BFC Preussen vs Hansa Rostock II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
4º
3º
10
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
11 | 58 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 45 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 38 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 32 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 32 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 26 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 23 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Preussen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
HZE
23%
19%
59%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 3
PRE
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
8 - 0
RFC
72%
17%
12%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
PRE
20%
20%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
PRE
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 1
BAK
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANK
0 - 3
HAN
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
0 - 0
BAB
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 3
TEN
84%
10%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 1
HAN
15%
17%
68%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |