BFC Preussen vs Greifswalder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Preussen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
BAK
2 - 1
PRE
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
PRE
2 - 1
FAL
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BFC
1 - 1
PRE
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
PRE
5 - 1
BSC
27%
25%
49%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
NEU
1 - 1
PRE
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
SSV
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
OPT
1 - 1
GRE
45%
25%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 1
BAK
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 3
GRE
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 4
BFC
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -3 |