Preußen Münster vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
76.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WEH
2 - 2
PRE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
PRE
5 - 2
ROS
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 1
PRE
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 4
BOR
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 0
CHE
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
OBK
1 - 2
BRE
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 3
ASV
47%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
FSS
1 - 4
BRE
3%
8%
89%
|
84 | 8 | 76 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 3
BRE
9%
15%
76%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 2
BRE
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |