Preußen Münster vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
53%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
14º
16º
15º
9
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
3 - 2
BRE
22%
22%
57%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HSV
4 - 1
PRE
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 5
STU
12%
18%
70%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
KAI
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
HAN
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAD
0 - 0
ULM
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 1
PAD
31%
25%
45%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 4
PAD
8%
14%
79%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 1
DAR
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
PAD
43%
24%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |