Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
AAA
0 - 1
PRE
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1987 |
PRE
2 - 2
AAA
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ROT
0 - 2
PRE
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PRE
1 - 1
ROT
33%
25%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BNE
1 - 0
PRE
46%
24%
31%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 1
MEP
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
FCR
2 - 0
KÖL
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
F95
0 - 2
KÖL
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
KÖL
5 - 1
ROT
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SCF
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |