Preußen Münster vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
EBT
3 - 0
PRE
53%
23%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
PRE
0 - 1
HOL
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
F95
3 - 4
PRE
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
WER
4 - 0
PRE
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
PRE
2 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
ERZ
4 - 0
WER
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 1
ERZ
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ERZ
4 - 0
KÖL
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
DRE
2 - 1
ERZ
45%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
ERZ
0 - 3
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |