Preußen Münster vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ARB
2 - 5
PRE
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
PRE
2 - 0
ROT
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
WUP
2 - 0
PRE
32%
28%
39%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
AAA
4 - 0
PRE
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
PRE
3 - 3
HAM
74%
18%
9%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1965 |
STU
3 - 2
BVB
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
BVB
5 - 1
NEU
76%
13%
11%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
HAN
2 - 0
BVB
24%
24%
52%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
KOL
3 - 3
BVB
74%
15%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
BVB
1 - 2
BRE
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |