DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 3-2
Preußen Münster vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ROT
0 - 2
PRE
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PRE
1 - 1
ROT
33%
25%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BNE
1 - 0
PRE
46%
24%
31%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
HOL
3 - 1
PRE
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
PRE
3 - 2
OSV
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
0 - 3
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
AAA
0 - 2
OFC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
SCF
3 - 0
AAA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
BAY
2 - 3
AAA
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
AAA
4 - 2
SAA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |