Preußen Münster II vs Erndtebrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
5º
2º
34
12º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
TUS
1 - 4
PRE
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
ENN
1 - 6
PRE
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
PRE
4 - 1
HSC
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MEI
1 - 1
PRE
50%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PRE
4 - 1
TUS
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Erndtebrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
KMA
5 - 0
ERN
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 1
ERN
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ERN
1 - 2
WAT
18%
21%
62%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
WER
5 - 1
ERN
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ERN
1 - 6
KMA
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |