Pretoria University vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 1
THA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MPU
3 - 2
PRE
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 0
CAP
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PRE
4 - 1
BAY
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
PRE
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
SWA
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
MAR
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
AMA
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
SUN
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |