Pretoria University vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
VFA
3 - 3
PRE
34%
24%
43%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PCR
0 - 2
PRE
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 0
BLA
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
UTH
2 - 2
PRE
33%
30%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
TTM
1 - 2
PRE
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
UTH
0 - 0
FRE
28%
29%
43%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 2
PCF
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 2
FRE
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 0
FRE
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
FRE
7%
14%
79%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |