Pretoria University vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
PRE
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BID
1 - 1
PRE
65%
23%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 1
POL
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MPU
0 - 1
PRE
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 1
CHI
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 2
SSU
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
PLS
2 - 1
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 3
FRE
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
PIR
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |