Pretoria University vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SUN
1 - 1
PRE
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PRE
3 - 1
AMA
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 1
BLO
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PIR
0 - 0
PRE
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
PRE
0 - 0
AJA
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
PIR
36%
28%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 2
FRE
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 1
PLS
47%
27%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
SWA
1 - 0
FRE
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 2
BLO
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |