Pretoria University vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
11º
9º
56
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 77.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UTH
0 - 0
PRE
24%
29%
47%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 0
POL
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SWA
1 - 0
PRE
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 1
ALL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 0
SWA
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 2
AJA
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PCF
1 - 1
AJA
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RIB
0 - 0
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 2
PRE
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
AJA
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |