Pretoria Callies FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria Callies FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALL
0 - 0
PCF
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PCF
1 - 2
HLF
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TSS
1 - 0
PCF
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 2
TSS
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BPC
2 - 4
PCF
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 0
VFA
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RIB
0 - 0
FRE
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 1
PCR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
POL
0 - 0
FRE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 1
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |