Pretoria Callies FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pretoria Callies FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 1
CHI
12%
17%
71%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 2
CPU
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
JDR
1 - 0
PCF
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
POL
0 - 1
PCF
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 0
COS
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 0
JDR
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
RIB
1 - 2
FRE
38%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 1
RKF
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 2
COS
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PRE
0 - 1
FRE
26%
27%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |