EFL Cup 1/64
Global 7-6
Preston North End vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1996 |
PLY
2 - 1
PNE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
PNE
2 - 1
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
WIG
2 - 3
PNE
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
NOT
2 - 1
PNE
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
PNE
2 - 0
EXE
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
WIG
4 - 2
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
CAR
0 - 2
WIG
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BAR
1 - 1
WIG
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
WIG
2 - 3
PNE
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
WIG
1 - 2
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |