Preston North End vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PNE
2 - 2
QPR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
MID
2 - 0
PNE
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
WBA
3 - 2
PNE
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
PNE
2 - 2
SHW
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PNE
3 - 2
NTT
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 3
CRY
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 1
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SHW
2 - 1
WAT
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 1
WAT
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 1
IPS
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |