Preston North End vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
PNE
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
PNE
5 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
PNE
0 - 1
BBU
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1923 |
BBU
2 - 0
PNE
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
PNE
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 2
SUN
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
BBU
4 - 1
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOT
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1923 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |