Preston North End vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
53%
24%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
PNE
3 - 0
SHW
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
PNE
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 2
PNE
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
PNE
3 - 1
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
LIV
3 - 0
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
BRA
0 - 1
NOT
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 2
BRA
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 2
PNE
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |