Preston North End vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
BRA
0 - 1
PNE
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
PNE
1 - 0
BCF
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
OLD
1 - 0
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
BBU
3 - 0
PNE
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1912 |
NOT
2 - 0
BCF
69%
17%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
MID
4 - 0
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
SHW
3 - 0
NOT
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 3
BBU
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
SUN
5 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |