Preston North End vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
BRI
1 - 3
PNE
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
PNE
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
PNE
3 - 2
SUN
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
PNE
1 - 1
BIR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1908 |
BOL
2 - 0
PNE
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
NOT
1 - 0
MAC
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1908 |
BRI
2 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
NOT
1 - 2
SHW
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
NOT
4 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 1
BOL
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |