Preston North End vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 0
SUN
56%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1907 |
BRI
1 - 0
PNE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
PNE
3 - 1
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 0
DER
72%
17%
12%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
NOT
4 - 0
DER
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOT
83%
11%
7%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1907 |
NOT
1 - 2
BCF
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
WBA
3 - 1
NOT
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 3
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |