Preston North End vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1959 |
BPO
0 - 2
PNE
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
PNE
4 - 3
WOL
38%
23%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
ARS
0 - 3
PNE
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
PNE
1 - 5
MAC
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
BBU
1 - 4
PNE
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1959 |
NTT
3 - 1
CHL
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
TOT
2 - 1
NTT
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
NTT
0 - 2
BIR
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
2 - 1
NTT
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
FUL
3 - 1
NTT
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |