Preston North End vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
3 - 0
PNE
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 0
NEW
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
NEW
3 - 1
PNE
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
LIV
5 - 2
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 3
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
3 - 0
PNE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOL
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
SHE
0 - 0
NTT
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 0
SHE
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 0
OLD
33%
26%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |