Preston North End vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
PNE
3 - 1
BPO
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
WBA
1 - 1
PNE
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
CHA
4 - 2
PNE
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
PNE
0 - 1
MID
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1951 |
PNE
3 - 0
CHA
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
WBA
3 - 3
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
NEW
7 - 2
TOT
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 1
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
MUD
2 - 1
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 0
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |