Preston North End vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 4
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 1
PNE
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
PNE
3 - 0
BRI
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 0
PNE
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
PNE
3 - 0
ARS
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 0
BBU
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 6
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 1
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 0
NTT
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |