Preston North End vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 0
PNE
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PNE
1 - 0
QPR
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
OLD
0 - 3
PNE
15%
19%
66%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
PNE
2 - 3
BUR
29%
27%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
PNE
2 - 2
WHU
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
EXE
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CRE
6 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 3
FLE
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
MOR
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 3
MOR
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |