Preston North End vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
PNE
0 - 0
NOR
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PNE
1 - 0
BIR
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PLY
2 - 0
PNE
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
PNE
0 - 1
LEI
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
COV
0 - 4
PNE
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 0
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
EXE
1 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
YOR
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
YOR
0 - 0
MOR
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 0
GRA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |