FA Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Preston North End vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
CRY
1 - 1
PNE
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
BOL
1 - 3
PNE
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
PNE
1 - 1
HUR
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
MID
2 - 1
PNE
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
PNE
1 - 2
LEY
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
CHL
2 - 0
MUD
37%
25%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
SLB
1 - 5
MUD
68%
16%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
MUD
4 - 2
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
STO
2 - 2
MUD
33%
24%
44%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |