Preston North End vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1947 |
BBU
2 - 3
PNE
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1947 |
PNE
2 - 1
MUD
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1947 |
SHE
3 - 1
PNE
51%
23%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1947 |
PNE
2 - 1
STO
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1947 |
PNE
0 - 0
ARS
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1947 |
BPO
1 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1947 |
MAC
1 - 3
BBU
68%
18%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1947 |
MAC
0 - 0
MUD
50%
22%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1947 |
MAC
3 - 2
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1947 |
GRI
1 - 0
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |