Preston North End vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
STO
2 - 1
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
PNE
1 - 1
OPA
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
SHW
1 - 0
PNE
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
PNE
2 - 0
WOL
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1935 |
PNE
2 - 2
EVE
43%
23%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
BBU
4 - 1
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
MAC
1 - 2
STO
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
MAC
0 - 0
OPA
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
ARS
2 - 3
MAC
74%
14%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1935 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
72%
16%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |