Preston North End vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 0
HUL
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
HUL
0 - 0
PNE
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
PNE
0 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 2
BOL
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1921 |
PNE
2 - 0
SHE
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 0
TOT
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
OLD
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
2 - 0
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 0
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |