Preston North End vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
DER
0 - 1
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
PNE
2 - 4
SHE
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1914 |
PNE
2 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
MID
4 - 1
PNE
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1914 |
PNE
3 - 2
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
4 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
0 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
MUD
0 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
2 - 1
OLD
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |