Preston North End vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
TOT
6 - 2
PNE
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
PNE
0 - 1
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 2
PNE
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 2
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
MID
4 - 2
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
MAC
3 - 3
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
BRA
4 - 1
MAC
69%
18%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1911 |
MAC
3 - 1
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
OLD
4 - 1
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
MAC
0 - 0
SHE
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |