Preston North End vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
SHE
3 - 1
PNE
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 0
SHW
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 1
EVE
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 0
PNE
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 2
DER
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
BCF
3 - 1
MAC
43%
23%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
MAC
0 - 1
SHW
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1907 |
MAC
3 - 1
MID
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
4 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |