Preston North End vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
PNE
39%
28%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 0
PNE
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 4
PNE
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
PNE
1 - 1
STO
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
OLD
1 - 3
PNE
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
COL
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 3
SUN
9%
17%
75%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PLY
5 - 0
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
OPA
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OXF
2 - 0
HAR
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |