Preston North End vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
MAC
1 - 0
PNE
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
PNE
2 - 0
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
MUD
1 - 2
PNE
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
PNE
2 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 1
PNE
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
DER
4 - 2
TOT
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
MUD
2 - 1
DER
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 0
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
DER
1 - 1
BPO
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |