Preston North End vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1947 |
EVE
2 - 1
PNE
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1947 |
PNE
1 - 3
WOL
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1947 |
HUR
1 - 0
PNE
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1947 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1947 |
ASV
4 - 1
PNE
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1947 |
DER
1 - 0
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1947 |
CHA
1 - 5
DER
56%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1947 |
DER
1 - 1
MUD
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1947 |
SHE
1 - 2
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1947 |
DER
4 - 2
MID
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |