Preston North End vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
SHE
2 - 0
PNE
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
PNE
4 - 1
MID
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 0
PNE
83%
11%
6%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
PNE
0 - 1
LIV
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 0
PNE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
DER
3 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 3
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1913 |
DER
1 - 2
OLD
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
CHL
2 - 1
DER
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
DER
3 - 3
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |