Preston North End vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
PNE
2 - 4
COL
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PNE
3 - 1
WAT
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
IPS
2 - 1
PNE
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
PNE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
26%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
4 - 0
PNE
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 0
CRE
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 5
CRE
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 0
STO
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WYC
2 - 0
CRE
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |