Preston North End vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 0
PNE
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
NTT
3 - 0
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
PNE
2 - 0
PLY
67%
22%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
PNE
0 - 0
DER
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
PNE
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
SOU
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
SOU
1 - 2
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
BHA
1 - 2
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
BRO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 0
COL
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |