Preston North End vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
PNE
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PNE
0 - 0
WAL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SHE
2 - 1
PNE
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
PNE
1 - 0
HAR
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
YEO
2 - 1
PNE
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
TRA
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 4
CHA
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
SHW
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |