Preston North End vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
PNE
0 - 3
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
BIR
1 - 0
PNE
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 0
PNE
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
PNE
6 - 1
MID
62%
19%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 3
MAC
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
2 - 2
CHA
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
6 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
2 - 2
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
2 - 3
NEW
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |